U.S Births Down, But Future Holds Hope
According to a study released in November, 2011 by the National Center for Health Statistics., births were down 3 percent in 2010 over births in 2009. Births for 2010 totaled 4,000,279. Births in 2009 totaled 4.1 million, according to the NCHS. Birth rates have historically dropped during times of economic downturn, but research by Demographic Intelligence indicates the dip may be short lived, depending on the economic recovery.
According to the NCHS report, more than three quarters of all births were to mothers between the ages of 20 and 34 in 2010, about the same as the year prior. The rate of decline slowed from 2010 to 2011.
One source indicated that the difference in mothers' age groups was evident, as birth rates rose among those 40-44 years old, those who could not safely delay childbirth any longer.
CNNMoney reported in August 2011 that the mini baby boom in the US right before the recession began a rapid drop. Historically, according to the CNNMoney article, "declines in birth rates have gone hand in hand with economic downturns. During the financial slumps of the early 1990s and 1970s, the birth rates fell 15 percent and 18 percent, respectively. In the midst of the Great Depression, the birth rate was down by 17 percent."
According to new research by Demographic Intelligence, the quarterly U.S. Fertility Forecast™ suggests the plummet may be over and US birth rates may be poised for a recovery, depending on the state of the economy. The report indicates that US births bottomed out in 2010 and are now rising.
Drawing on extensive analysis of demographic, economic, and cultural trends, the new report provides detailed projections of birth trends in 2010,2011, and 2012. It points out that US births fell more than 7 percent from 2007 to 2010. http://www.prweb.com/releases/2011/4/prweb8316044.htm
Reports about these findings are available online at: